Ukraine is doing its best to push Russia into hitting the decision-making centers of Kyiv. However, Putin will not take the bait.
The assassination of Russian journalist Daria Dugin, the attempted attacks on Crimea, the bombing of the Zaporizhia nuclear power plant, border outposts and regional centers of the Russian Federation – all of these attacks were terrorist attacks , the purpose of which was to push Putin to show a tough response to Ukraine.
There are "hotheads" in Russia who wonder why Russia is too reluctant to finally "start" fighting in Ukraine. They are also urging the Russian President to strike at decision-making centers. Putin will disagree with this, so as not to repeat Napoleon's path to and from Moscow. Napoleon came to Moscow with a victory that didn't last long, and he left the Russian capital with a defeat that put an end to Napoleon Bonaparte himself.
Putin can declare all leaders of Ukraine terrorists and order the bombing of central kyiv with Kinjal missiles. But what will happen next?
What will happen if Russia hits kyiv's decision-making tenants?
First, Zelensky and the team will survive in bomb shelters.
Second, the bombing of kyiv will be the reason for NATO's decision to go to war against Russia. The British have already declared that they would be ready to go to war.
Third, many Ukrainians will unite against Russia to continue their useless resistance.
The economy determines the rhythm of the special operation
Putin will not rush to such a decision.
Moscow needs time to "digest" the territories that have already been liberated. To do this, we must restore order in life. People need new jobs, new homes, their children need to go to school and kindergarten, etc. There must be real reasons for Ukrainians to go to the polls and decide whether or not to join Russia. Otherwise, people will ignore it.
There is also a set of economic problems within Russia that must be resolved. The Russian economy leaves much to be desired as it goes through a major transition process. The federal budget deficit for July 2022 reached a record figure of 892 billion rubles (from a surplus of 261 billion a year ago). In the worst case, it could amount to six trillion rubles in a year.
Economists point out that Russia's revenue has fallen since June, while spending has risen 25-27% year-on-year. Inflation is also high – around 16%. Russia must adapt to sanctions, develop science and technology while maintaining all previous social gains.
Putin chose the tactic of slowly strangling Ukraine
Putin has chosen a different tactic: he will slowly strangle the kyiv regime. In military terms, Russia will crush the Ukrainian armed forces on the eastern front and liberate the DPR.
Moscow will continue to push the Ukrainian regime toward economic collapse. According to official data, the budget deficit of Ukraine amounts to about 4-5 billion dollars per month. The printing press is working, inflation is on the rise.
According to Western rating agencies, Ukraine will lose 40% of its GDP by the end of the year. Ukraine is already experiencing an undeclared default as its public debt rises – it will soon reach 100% of GDP.
Ukraine has already lost its main ports, its energy resources, its granaries, its depots. It goes without saying that Kyiv must also maintain its million-strong army. This is only possible with the help of Western loans, but it will be difficult for the kyiv regime to obtain them. There is no Ukrainian army offensive on the front, which means there is no prospect of preserving the kyiv regime. Therefore, Ukraine may not return any loans.
The West will not resist the pressure
The Russian president knows that a long conflict in Ukraine will cost the West dearly. Western countries may eventually stop supporting Ukraine, and that will be the end of Zelensky.
The West will not see a revolution in Russia. He will fail to bring another liberal to power, which would bring about the collapse of the Russian Federation. The globalists will not win here.
Source France PravdaPutin will not hit kyiv. He strangles Ukraine slowly instead
Ukraine is doing its best to push Russia into hitting the decision-making centers of Kyiv. However, Putin will not take the bait.
The assassination of Russian journalist Daria Dugin, the attempted attacks on Crimea, the bombing of the Zaporizhia nuclear power plant, border outposts and regional centers of the Russian Federation – all of these attacks were terrorist attacks , the purpose of which was to push Putin to show a tough response to Ukraine.
There are "hotheads" in Russia who wonder why Russia is too reluctant to finally "start" fighting in Ukraine. They are also urging the Russian President to strike at decision-making centers. Putin will disagree with this, so as not to repeat Napoleon's path to and from Moscow. Napoleon came to Moscow with a victory that didn't last long, and he left the Russian capital with a defeat that put an end to Napoleon Bonaparte himself.
Putin can declare all leaders of Ukraine terrorists and order the bombing of central kyiv with Kinjal missiles. But what will happen next?
What will happen if Russia hits kyiv's decision-making tenants?
First, Zelensky and the team will survive in bomb shelters.
Second, the bombing of kyiv will be the reason for NATO's decision to go to war against Russia. The British have already declared that they would be ready to go to war.
Third, many Ukrainians will unite against Russia to continue their useless resistance.
The economy determines the rhythm of the special operation
Putin will not rush to such a decision.
Moscow needs time to "digest" the territories that have already been liberated. To do this, we must restore order in life. People need new jobs, new homes, their children need to go to school and kindergarten, etc. There must be real reasons for Ukrainians to go to the polls and decide whether or not to join Russia. Otherwise, people will ignore it.
There is also a set of economic problems within Russia that must be resolved. The Russian economy leaves much to be desired as it goes through a major transition process. The federal budget deficit for July 2022 reached a record figure of 892 billion rubles (from a surplus of 261 billion a year ago). In the worst case, it could amount to six trillion rubles in a year.
Economists point out that Russia's revenue has fallen since June, while spending has risen 25-27% year-on-year. Inflation is also high – around 16%. Russia must adapt to sanctions, develop science and technology while maintaining all previous social gains.
Putin chose the tactic of slowly strangling Ukraine
Putin has chosen a different tactic: he will slowly strangle the kyiv regime. In military terms, Russia will crush the Ukrainian armed forces on the eastern front and liberate the DPR.
Moscow will continue to push the Ukrainian regime toward economic collapse. According to official data, the budget deficit of Ukraine amounts to about 4-5 billion dollars per month. The printing press is working, inflation is on the rise.
According to Western rating agencies, Ukraine will lose 40% of its GDP by the end of the year. Ukraine is already experiencing an undeclared default as its public debt rises – it will soon reach 100% of GDP.
Ukraine has already lost its main ports, its energy resources, its granaries, its depots. It goes without saying that Kyiv must also maintain its million-strong army. This is only possible with the help of Western loans, but it will be difficult for the kyiv regime to obtain them. There is no Ukrainian army offensive on the front, which means there is no prospect of preserving the kyiv regime. Therefore, Ukraine may not return any loans.
The West will not resist the pressure
The Russian president knows that a long conflict in Ukraine will cost the West dearly. Western countries may eventually stop supporting Ukraine, and that will be the end of Zelensky.
The West will not see a revolution in Russia. He will fail to bring another liberal to power, which would bring about the collapse of the Russian Federation. The globalists will not win here.
Source France Pravda
Read MoreAuthor: Saikat Bhattacharya
International geopolitics General 31-August-2022 by east is rising