Theorization of the Coming Third Wave of Revolutions Part-2: DEI & Identity Politics

Feminism has increased state revenue and capitalist profits.

*How has it done so?*

By entering the labor market, women have increased production, reduced the bargaining power of male workers, and created new markets. Additionally, the entry of women into the labor force has rapidly reduced birth rates in third-world countries, increasing per capita resources (such as infrastructure, banking services, digital services, education, healthcare, and machinery). This has made each individual more productive. Thus, women entering the labor market have not only boosted production but also increased productivity in the third world by lowering birth rates.

As a result, both the state and capital have supported feminism.

However, by 2020, the situation began to change. Low birth rates in the first world are reducing the population, leading to a decline in both the labor force and market size. In the first world, per capita resources have grown so much that there are not enough people to utilize them effectively (for example, schools in Germany are struggling to find students). In other words, the population is too small relative to resources, making it difficult to utilize them properly. In the third world, however, there is still a lack of sufficient infrastructure and machinery, so low birth rates will continue to increase per capita resources and productivity for now. Moreover, birth rates in the third world began to decline later, so it will take another 20-30 years for labor shortages or market contraction to become significant issues.

In the first world, however, low birth rates are actually reducing both state revenue and capitalist profits. Therefore, in the coming years, the state and capital in the first world (i.e., the United States, Europe, Japan, Russia, China, Korea, Singapore, and Malaysia) will adopt anti-feminist positions. In the third world, it will take another 20-30 years for such anti-feminist stances to emerge.

The men's rights movement must strategically accelerate this low birth rate crisis. Over the next 20 years, it must cultivate an anti-marriage/anti-romance mindset among men, encouraging them to enjoy solitary lives and spend on themselves. If executed properly, this could lead to an anti-feminist storm by 2040-2050. If robots or artificial wombs do not solve the low birth rate problem, women may lose many of their hard-earned rights and freedoms. Therefore, wise women should be cautious. The state and capital will exploit men and appease women only as long as it is profitable. When the tide turns, they will change their stance accordingly. Wise women should reject feminist privileges and acknowledge men's legitimate demands. It is time to move away from flawed, anti-male feminist theories and scientifically understand how fluctuations in birth rates influence the duties of women and men.

The men's rights movement is increasingly dividing into two factions: one group is looking toward the future, and the other is looking toward the past. The futurists are saying: "We do not want traditional rights back, but we will also no longer fulfill traditional duties." The traditionalists are saying: "We are fulfilling and will continue to fulfill traditional duties, and we also want our rights back."

In fact, since the primitive societal system (hunter-gatherer economy), women's lives have been considered more valuable than men's. This notion persisted even in patriarchal societies (livestock and agriculture-centered economies). Therefore, risky tasks such as war, hunting, etc., were placed on men's shoulders. Epidemics, animal attacks, insect bites, food poisoning, weather, environment, war, etc., caused many deaths in earlier societies. Thus, maintaining a high birth rate was crucial. Societies with a higher number of women had higher birth rates. Hence, traditional societies taught the importance of valuing women's lives more.

But traditional societies (hunter-gatherer, livestock, and agriculture-centered economies) not only assigned risky tasks to men but also granted them greater rights. In hunter-gatherer societies, men's sexual rights were acknowledged. In livestock and agriculture-centered economies, people became productive at a much younger age compared to hunter-gatherer economies, making higher birth rates even more advantageous. Naturally, women's responsibilities for childbirth and child-rearing increased, while the remaining external tasks fell to men. This system persisted because it enabled societies to maintain high birth rates.

By the late 19th century, about 100 years after the Industrial Revolution, the situation began to change. On one hand, the invention of life-saving medicines reduced death rates from epidemics, famines, and floods. On the other hand, the cost of raising children in industrialized societies increased significantly. Sending children to schools and colleges to make them economically productive required considerable time and resources, delaying their ability to earn until much later in life. These two factors forced societies to reduce birth rates, as having more children became a burden.

With fewer children to raise, women found themselves with more free time, leading them to enter the labor market. With fewer children to bear, women could pursue education and delay marriage. As industrialization spread globally, this trend grew. Governments realized that encouraging women to join the labor force not only reduced birth rates but also accelerated industrial growth. Consequently, governments made efforts to bring more women into the workforce. As a result, women became earners, no longer bound to obey their husbands. Governments also enacted laws to strip men of their traditional rights, ultimately making the institution of marriage unprofitable for men.

It is important to remember that the foundation of the feminist movement lies in the fact that maintaining high birth rates became unprofitable in industrialized societies. This was due to two reasons: the rising cost of raising children and the invention of life-saving medicines. When traditionalist men's rights advocates demand the return of traditional rights, they are essentially advocating for high birth rates, thereby implicitly accepting that women's lives are more valuable than men's. However, since they cannot reverse the course of economics and technology, they will not be able to restore a high-birth-rate society. They will only be left to fulfill traditional duties, while men remain trapped in the confines of domestic life.

On the other hand, futurists acknowledge the trajectory of economics and technology and use the very foundation of feminism—that high birth rates are unprofitable in industrialized societies—to argue that women's lives no longer need to be valued more than men's, as high birth rates are no longer necessary. Men, therefore, will no longer fulfill traditional duties. In essence, futurist men's rights advocates are using feminism's own weapon against it. Freed from the burdens of traditional masculinity, men can now easily say, "Men can also be victims of rape by female perpetrators," "Men can also be abused by women," "Men are not solely responsible for protecting the nation, religion, or race," "Men are not obligated to protect women," "Men can also be consumers," "Men can spend time in front of the mirror," and "If they so desire, yes, if they so desire, men can take any risk. 

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Author: Saikat Bhattacharya

Theoretical General world order 05-February-2025 by east is rising

Bangladesh in Heartland Rimland Eurasian Island Theory

The Heartland Theory was proposed by Halford Mackinder in 1904.

The Heartland is the central area of Eurasia and parts of Eastern Europe. This area was land locked, agriculturaly self sufficient, resourceful and trade was land dominated.

Mackinder's doctrin was:

"Who rules East Europe commands the Heartland;

Who rules the Heartland commands the World-Island;

Who rules the World-Island commands the World."

As the Heartland consisted much of the Russian Empire and later the Soviet Union, it had self sufficiency in grain and agriculture (often called the "breadbasket of Europe"), Energy Resources ( coal, oil, gas), Raw Materials (Timber, metals,iron, nickel, and copper) and their trade with Europe was mainly land locked e.g the Trans-Siberian Railway.

The Heartland sought to dominate its surrounding east europe through a large Land based Army to secure strategic depth and access to warm water ports, critical resources, and influence.

This theory remained relevant during the early-to-mid 20th century, when Eurasia was considered as the center of power and resources. It emphasized on Geographical Determinism, land based power (e.g Army, infantry), resource and land connectivity to control the heartland and world Islands.

But due to technological innovation, rise of meritime trade and air travel, integrated economic dependency and the rise of the new multi-polar worlds after the 2nd world war, this theory became obsolete.

Thus, The Rimland Theory was developed by Nicholas Spykman in the 1940s, as a response to Halford Mackinder's Heartland Theory.

In contrast to Heartlands Land Force Dominance, the Rimland theory was influenced by the rise of Naval and Air power.

Spykman argued that the Rimland—the coastal areas surrounding Eurasia—was more critical to controlling the "World-Island" (Eurasia and Africa) than the Heartland itself. The Rimland includes Western Europe, the Middle East, South Asia, Southeast Asia, and East Asia—regions that border the Heartland and have access to major seas and oceans.

He modified Mackinder’s doctrin into:

"Who controls the Rimland rules Eurasia;

Who rules Eurasia controls the destinies of the world."

In present scenario, Rimland has the world's largest population, Low Cost Human Resources, largest consumer base, critical Maritime gateways through which over 80% of global trade is conducted and most of the natural resource mines (Coal, Oil, Gas, Rare Earth Minerals) are located in this region.

Unlike the Heartlands land dominated trade dependency, the Rimland is Maritime oriented and its gateways (e.g., the Suez Canal, Strait of Hormuz, Malacca Strait ) connect the Heartlands to the world Islands from Atlantic to the Pacific Ocean region.

Spikeman emphasized whoever dominates the Rimland through Naval and Air Power will domante the world. This theory's reflection can be seen in the US Indo-Pacific Strategy, Security Alliance such as AUKUS, China and India's Naval dominance policy and rapid modernization effort.

While Bangladesh being located on the Rimland periphery, our policy still incorporates outdated Heartland theory where our land based Army is prioritised in defence modernization.

All our trade and economic concentration, geopolitical dynamics are maritime centric. We're encircled from 3 sides by the Wolf Land and have access to the sea only from the south.

Why should Bangladesh focus on Naval Power?

It's because of Indo-China geopolitical Dynamics and a potential border shift in the North Eastern sector.

Future border shifting became a reality in the South Eastern part when Rakhaine was taken over by the Arakan Army.

As I previously theorized that a possible Chian-Bangladesh border is still in the play due to our geographical compulsion, Bangladesh can be the alternative trading route for china by passing the Malacca Strait.

To secure its future regional dominance and trade security, Bangladesh must aspire to become a Blue Water Navy.

Our 'Forces Goal' should be on the Navy and Air Force. Historically, Bangladesh has been a major regional power when ever it possessed a huge Naval Force.

Should we also not incorporate the Rimland theory in our defence doctrine?

Why are we not investing in the Navy and Air Force?

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Author: Zahid Mollah

International geopolitics General world order 06-January-2025 by east is rising

Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Wang Wenbin’s Regular Press Conference on October 31, 2023

Bloomberg: There are reports in the media that China’s Public Security Minister Wang Xiaohong is holding talks in Myanmar. Do you have any information on the reason and content of these talks? What is China’s assessment of the offensive in northern Myanmar?

Wang Wenbin: China is closely following the conflict. We urge relevant parties to cease fire as soon as possible, settle differences in a peaceful way through dialogue and consultation, avoid escalation of the situation, and take effective steps to ensure security and stability at the China-Myanmar border. As for the visit you asked about, I’d refer you to competent Chinese authorities.

Hubei Media Group: It is reported that the Bangabandhu Sheikh Mujibur Rahman Tunnel in Bangladesh, contracted to and constructed by Chinese companies, has officially been inaugurated. This is yet another good outcome of Belt and Road cooperation between China and Bangladesh. Would you like to comment on this?

Wang Wenbin: We congratulate Bangladesh on the inauguration of the Bangabandhu Sheikh Mujibur Rahman Tunnel. It is the first underwater tunnel in South Asia and will further enhance connectivity between Bangladesh and neighboring countries. This is another vivid example of how Belt and Road cooperation benefits partner countries and promotes common development. We believe that this tunnel and other projects like the Dasherkandi Sewage Treatment Plant will contribute to the economic and social development of Bangladesh and the well-being of the people.

Not long ago, China successfully held the third Belt and Road Forum for International Cooperation. President Xi Jinping announced eight major steps China will take to support joint pursuit of high-quality Belt and Road cooperation in his keynote speech. The forum achieved 458 outcomes. China will work with partner countries, take implementing the outcomes of the third Belt and Road Forum for International Cooperation as an opportunity to usher in a new stage of high-quality Belt and Road cooperation. By doing so, we can contribute even more to the common effort of global modernization featuring peaceful development, mutually beneficial cooperation and prosperity for all.

Kyodo News: The Beijing Xiangshan Forum was concluded today. During the forum, did Chinese and US participants have any exchanges?

Wang Wenbin: On the Xiangshan Forum, please refer to information released by China’s competent authorities.

RIA Novosti: Tomorrow China will assume the rotating presidency of the United Nations Security Council for November. Does China plan to propose any resolution on the situation in Israel and Gaza during the presidency?

Wang Wenbin: On the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, China always stands on the side of fairness and justice, condemns and opposes all moves that harm civilians and violate international law. China is committed to working with the international community to help end the fighting, ensure the safety of civilians, promote humanitarian assistance, prevent an even worse humanitarian disaster from happening, and strive for a comprehensive, just and lasting settlement of the Palestinian question. China will work relentlessly to this end in the UN Security Council.

China Daily: On October 30, the Fijian government announced its withdrawal from being a party to a China-related joint statement issued by some Western countries in the Third Committee of the UN General Assembly at its 78th session. Do you have any comment?

Wang Wenbin: At the general debate on human rights issues held by the Third Committee of the UN General Assembly at its 78th session, over 100 countries spoke up in various ways in support of China’s just position. The scale of the support shows once again that the international community is fair-minded on issues like this. A handful of Western countries sought to use human rights as a pretext to interfere in China’s internal affairs and hold back China’s development. That is not popular with the international community and will not succeed.

We noted the Fijian government’s announced withdrawal from being a party to a China-related joint statement issued by some Western countries in the UN General Assembly Third Committee. Fiji’s decision shows the spirit of independence and reflects the purposes of the UN Charter and the basic norms governing international relations. China welcomes that decision.

AFP: Yesterday, Canada banned WeChat on government-issued mobile devices, citing security risks. What is the Foreign Ministry’s response?

Wang Wenbin: WeChat is a social media platform run by a private company. The Chinese government keeps asking our companies to strictly abide by local laws and regulations in doing business overseas. The Canadian government, without providing any hard evidence, issued the ban against a Chinese company in the name of protecting data security. This is a typical move of overstretching the concept of national security and abusing state power to suppress the companies of a particular country. China firmly rejects this. We hope Canada will abandon ideological bias, uphold the principles of market economy, and provide a fair, just and non-discriminatory environment for Chinese companies.

CCTV: After the UN General Assembly adopted a resolution on the Palestinian-Israeli situation with the majority in favor at an emergency special session on October 28, Israel said they “reject outright” the UN call for a ceasefire in Gaza. Israel’s Permanent Representative to the UN called the resolution a “shame”, saying that “Israel will continue to defend itself.” What is China’s comment?

Wang Wenbin: The UN General Assembly resolution calls for an “immediate, durable and sustained humanitarian truce leading to a cessation of hostilities”, compliance with international law, protection of civilians, and rescinding of the order to evacuate northern Gaza. The resolution also “rejects any attempts at the forced transfer of the Palestinian civilian population.” This reflects the strong call from the overwhelming majority of countries in the world.

For too long, Palestinian territories have been under illegal occupation. For too long, the Palestinian people’s right to independent statehood has been overlooked. And for too long, their basic rights have received no fundamental guarantee. This is the root cause of the cycle of conflict between Palestine and Israel. Such historical injustice must not continue.

All countries are entitled to the right of self-defense. But that right should be exercised on the basis of observing the international law, the international humanitarian law in particular and protecting the safety of civilians. All lives are precious. Palestinian lives need to be protected just as the lives of people in any other country. The pressing priority now is to fully implement the UNGA resolution, stop the fighting, prevent further deterioration of the situation and avert an even worse humanitarian disaster.

History tells us that the use of force will never bring lasting peace and violence for violence will only lead to a vicious cycle of revenge. Only by pursuing common security can there be sustainable security. Only by observing the international law can international fairness and justice be upheld. Only through political settlement can all parties’ legitimate security concerns be fundamentally addressed. The fundamental way out of the Palestinian question lies in the implementation of the two-state solution and in Palestine and Israel living peacefully side by side.

China will continue to make relentless effort for a comprehensive, just and lasting settlement of the Palestinian question at an early date.

Reuters: It appears that the Baidu and Alibaba Gaode maps do not immediately show Israel unless people search for the country on those maps. Is there a reason that these platforms don’t identify Israel on their maps? Has China asked these platforms that provide map services to remove Israel? Also, does China still recognize Israel as a sovereign state?

Wang Wenbin: I believe you are aware that China and Israel have a normal diplomatic relationship. As for your questions, the relevant country is clearly marked on the standard maps issued by the Chinese competent authorities, which you may refer to.

Bloomberg: A question on Sri Lanka, is China willing to share its in-principle debt agreement, between its EXIM bank and Sri Lanka, with the IMF or the nation’s official creditors? Has progress been made towards a more concrete deal on this debt? How far have negotiations come along on the China Development Bank debt restructuring negotiations with Sri Lanka?

Wang Wenbin: As an official creditor, the Export-Import Bank of China tentatively agreed with Sri Lanka on the debt treatment. The Sri Lankan side has released relevant information. China will continue to support Chinese financial institutions in actively consulting with Sri Lanka and maintaining friendly communication with other creditors and jointly play a positive role in helping Sri Lanka navigate the situation, ease its debt burden and achieve sustainable development.

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Author: Saikat Bhattacharya

International geopolitics General world order 01-November-2023 by east is rising

নাঈরার মিথ্যাচার ইরাক যুদ্ধের আগে

এই মেয়েটার নাম হচ্ছে নাঈরা। সাদ্দাম হোসেনের কুয়েত দখলের পর ইরাক আক্রমণের পূর্বে আমেরিকানরা কুয়েতি এই মেয়েটাকে কংগ্রেসের একটা অধিবেশনে হাজির করে। সেখানে মেয়েটা সাক্ষ্য দেয়, সে ইরাকি সৈন্যদেরকে কুয়েতের হসপিটালগুলোতে ঢুকে সদ্যজাত শিশুদেরকে তুলে আছাড় মেরে হত্যা করতে দেখেছে।

নাঈরার এই সাক্ষ্য আমেরিকান গণমাধ্যম ব্যাপকভাবে প্রচার করতে শুরু করে। প্রেসিডেন্ট জর্জ বুশ সিনিয়রও ইরাক আক্রমণের যৌক্তিকতা তুলে ধরার জন্য তার ভাষণে মেয়েটার এই সাক্ষ্যের কথা উল্লেখ করেন এবং সাদ্দামকে হিটলারের সাথে তুলনা করেন। এর কয়েকমাস পর আমেরিকা সত্যি সত্যিই ইরাক আক্রমণ করে।

পরবর্তীতে জানা যায়, মেয়েটার পুরো নাম ছিল নাঈরা আল-সাবাহ, সে ছিল আমেরিকায় নিযুক্ত কুয়েতি রাষ্ট্রদূতের কন্যা, এবং তার এই সাক্ষ্য ছিল সম্পূর্ণ বানানো। ইরাক আক্রমণের বৈধতা তৈরির জন্য আমেরিকান একটা পিআর ফার্মের উদ্যোগে সে এই মিথ্যা সাক্ষ্য দিয়েছিল।

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ইসরায়েলি বিভিন্ন সংগঠনের, মিডিয়ার বা সেনাবাহিনীর বরাতে পশ্চিমা মিডিয়া যখন প্রচার করবে যে হামাস সদস্যরা অপারেশনে গিয়ে ইসরায়েলি মেয়েদেরকে রেপ করেছে, শিশুদেরকে হত্যা করেছে, তখন চট করে বিশ্বাস করার আগে এই ঘটনাটা মাথায় রাখবেন।

Mozammel Hossain Toha থেকে:

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Author: Saikat Bhattacharya

Historical General world order 11-October-2023 by east is rising

Heihe Tengchong Line

As of 2015, Still 94% of China's population live east of the line, in an area that is 43% of China's total, whereas 57% of the Chinese territory is west of the line has but only 6% of the country's population.

The Heihe–Tengchong Line (simplified Chinese: 黑河–腾冲线; traditional Chinese: 黑河–騰衝線; pinyin: Hēihé–Téngchōng xiàn), also called the Aihui-Tengchong Line (and internationally as the Hu line), is an imaginary line that divides the area of China into two parts with contrasting population densities. It stretches from the city of Heihe in northeast to Tengchong in south, diagonally across China. The eastern portion, area shown in red in the map, is further subdivided into north and south halves.

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Author: Saikat Bhattacharya

International geopolitics General world order 12-June-2023 by east is rising

স্বল্প জন্মহার পুঁজিকে বাধ্য করছে নারীবাদের বিরুদ্ধে যেতেঃ জনি ডিপ, ইলন মাস্ক, মার্কিন যুক্তরাষ্ট্রের ওকলাহোমায় গর্ভপাত বন্ধের আইন কোন বিচ্ছিন্ন ঘটনা নয়

ইলন মাস্কের ৭ সন্তান এবং তিনি বারবার এই নিয়ে চিন্তা ব্যক্ত করছেন যে স্বল্প জন্মহার বিশ্ব অর্থনীতির পক্ষে বিশেষ করে উন্নত বিশ্বের অর্থনীতির পক্ষে ভয়াবহ কারণ ক্রমেই কর্মক্ষম অল্প বয়স্কদের সংখ্যা কম হয়ে যাবে আর কর্মক্ষম নয় এমন বয়স্ক ও শিশুদের সংখ্যাই বেড়ে যাবে। বয়স্কদের ভার বৈতে গিয়ে যুবকরা বাচ্চার জন্ম আরও কম দেবে এবং এভাবেই অর্থনীতি ধ্বসে পড়বে। আগের দশক থেকে পিউ রিসার্চ সেন্টার বারবার বলে আসছে যে ২০৪০ নাগাদ শ্বেতাঙ্গরা মার্কিন যুক্তরাষ্ট্রে ৫০%-এর নীচে নেমে যাবে। হিস্পানিক, কালো, এশিয়, পলিনেশিয়রা সব মিলিয়ে ৫০%-এর বেশী হয়ে যাবে। শ্বেতাঙ্গবাদীদের উত্থান ট্রাম্প, সাল্ভিনির মধ্য দিয়ে পশ্চীম সমাজ দেখেছে। এর কারণ যে শ্বেতাঙ্গদের স্বল্প জন্ম হার তা আর বলার অবকাশ রাখেনা। এই জন্যেই পশ্চীমের অর্থনীতি লাতিন আমেরিকা, আফ্রিকা, এশিয়া থেকে আগত অভিবাসীদের ওপর নির্ভরশীল হয়ে পড়ছে। ২০১৮ সালের ফুটবল বিশ্বকাপ জয়ী ফ্রেঞ্চ টিম-এর দিকে তাকালেই তা স্পষ্ট হয়ে ওঠে।

রাশিয়াতেও চেচেন ও দাগিস্তানীদের সংখ্যা বেড়ে চলেছে এবং তা ৩৫% হয়ে যাবে ২০৪০ নাগাদ। জাপান ও দক্ষিণ কোরিয়াতে অভিবাসী বা চেচেন দাগিস্তানীদের মতোন উচ্চ জন্মহার সম্পন্ন উপজাতি নেই আর তাই তাদের জনসংখ্যা কমেই চলেছে। চীনেও এই প্রবণতা স্পষ্ট এবং চীনা সরকার ডিভোর্স পাওয়া মুশকিল করে, বাচ্চা বেশি হলে অর্থদান করে এই পরিস্থিতি মোকাবিলা করার চেষ্টা চালাচ্ছে। পশ্চীমের অভিজ্ঞতা চীনের সফল হওয়ার সম্ভাবনা বেশ কম।

এইবার দেখা যাক এই জন্মহার এত নেমে যাওয়ার কারণ কি? কারণ মূলত তিনটেঃ

১। নারী আজ রোজগার করছে এবং এই জন্যে তাদের বিয়ের বয়স বেড়ে যাচ্ছে এবং তাই বেশি বাচ্চার জন্ম দিতে পারছেনা এবং চাইছেও না।

২। নারী sexually hypergamous আর তাই রোজগেরে নারী তাদের থেকেও ভাল রোজগেরে ও আকর্ষণীয় পুরুষ অনেক কম খুঁজে পাচ্ছে। এর ফলে অনেক সাধারণ পুরুষও পছন্দসই নারী পাচ্ছেনা।

৩। নারীর পক্ষে থাকা খোরপোষ/গার্হস্থ্য সহিংসতা/ বৈবাহিক ধর্ষণ আইন যা বিবাহকে পুরুষের কাছে অলাভজনক করে ফেলেছে। এছাড়াও বেশি বয়সের নারী পুরুষের কাছে আকর্ষণীয় থাকছেনা বিয়ের জন্যে।

পুঁজির মূল এবং একমাত্র লক্ষ্য মুনাফা। ১৮৭০-২০০০ পর্যন্ত পুঁজি মনে করেছিল যে নারীকে গার্হস্থ্য কাজ থেকে শ্রম বাজারে টেনে আনাটাই লাভজনক। কারণ মেডিকাল সাইন্সের উন্নতির ফলে মৃত্যু হার কমে গেছিল অনেক বেশী আর জন্মহার কমছিল অনেক আস্তে আস্তে। ফলে জন্মহার কমাতে এবং শ্রমিক সংখ্যা বাড়াতে নারীকে শ্রম বাজারে আনতেই হত। কিন্তু ১৯৭০ থেকে Total Fertility Rate যখন Replacement Rate (২.১) এর নীচে নেমে যায় এবং এভাবেই ৫০ বছর চলতে থাকে গোটা শিল্পন্নত সমাজে তখন স্বাভাবিকভাবেই শ্রমিকের সংখ্যা কমতে শুরু করবে। আরেকটা বিষয় হল চীন ২০২৩-এই উচ্চবিত্ত দেশ হয়ে যাচ্ছে ($12,000 nominal measured GDP per capita)। চীনের মজুরি বৃদ্ধি ঘটেছে অস্বাভাবিক হারে। শেষ ২৫ বছরের মধ্যে চীনের মজুরি বেড়েছে ৫ গুণ। আবার চীন পশ্চীম সহ সমগ্র শিল্পোন্নত সমাজেই শ্রমিক সংখ্যা কমছে। ১৯৮০-এর চীনের মতো বিশাল সংখ্যার দক্ষ অথচ সস্তা শ্রমিক শ্রেণী আর কোন দেশে নেই। তৃতীয় বিশ্বের Total Fertility Rate-ও Replacement Rate (২.১) এর নীচে নেমে যাচ্ছে। আফ্রিকা, মধ্য এশিয়া, পশ্চীম এশিয়া ছাড়া কোথাও আর Total Fertility Rate Replacement Rate (২.১) এর ওপরে থাকবেনা। এর অর্থ এই যে শ্রমিকের দরকষাকষির ক্ষমতা বেড়ে যাবে। ফলে মুনাফা কমতে বাধ্য। আবার জনসংখ্যা না বাড়লে ক্রেতার সংখ্যাও বাড়বেনা। আর ক্রেতা না বাড়লে বাড়বেনা মুনাফা। অতএব পুঁজি আবার মনে করছে জন্মহার বাড়াতে হবে।আর তাই হয়তো নারীর পক্ষে থাকা খোরপোষ/গার্হস্থ্য সহিংসতা/ বৈবাহিক ধর্ষণ আইন বদলে দিয়ে বিবাহকে পুরুষের কাছে ফের লাভজনক করার একটা চেষ্টা চালানো হবে। যদি কাজ না হয় তাহলে নারীকে শ্রম বাজার থেকে বের করে দেওয়া হবেনা সে কথাও বলা যায়না।

পুরুষবাদীদের বুঝতে হবে যে স্বল্প জন্মহার ক্রমেই পুঁজিকে বাধ্য করবে নারীবাদের বিরদ্ধে অবস্থান নিতে। কিন্তু এও মনে রাখতে হবে সমাজ পরিচালকদের একটা মাত্র স্তম্ভ হল পুঁজি। ভোটে জেতা রাজনীতিবিদেরাও আরেকটা স্তম্ভ। আর নারী একটা ভোটব্যঙ্ক হতে পেরেছে বলে রাজনীতিবিদেরা মোটামুটি নারীবাদের পক্ষে অবস্থান নেবে। এছাড়াও উদারবাদীরাও বর্তমান ক্ষমতার একটা স্তম্ভ। এরা বিচার ব্যবস্থা, মিডিয়া, ইত্যাদিতে থেকে সমাজে নারীবাদ ছড়ায়। পুরুষবাদীদের তাই পুঁজিকে আরও বেশি কাছে টানার জন্যে শুধু পুরুষের জন্য পণ্যের সংখ্যা বাড়িয়ে যেতে হবে যেমন পুরুষজনিত রোগের চিকিৎসা, বা পুরুষের নিজস্ব সাঁঝার পার্লার, বা পুরুষের রাইফেল শুটিং ক্লাব, বা পুরুষের নিজের জন্য পণ্য কেনা বাড়িয়ে দেওয়া, বা আগে বছরে ১০টা পোশাক পরলে এখন বছরে ৩০টা পোশাক কেনা। দ্বিতীয়ত পুরুষবাদীদের পুরুষকে ভোটবাঙ্ক হতে শেখাতে হবে। পুরুষের জন্যে নার্সিং-এর মতো নারী প্রধান কাজগুলোতে সংরক্ষণ চাইতে হবে। এবং শেষে অবশ্যই উদারবাদের বিরুদ্ধে লড়াই চালাতে হবে। তবে সবার আগে মনে রাখতে হবে যে মধ্যবিত্ত পুরুষ যত বেশি বিয়ে করা বন্ধ করে দেবে তত বেশি স্বল্প জন্মহারের সমস্যা বাড়বে আর তত বেশি পুঁজি আমাদের পক্ষে আসবে। আর বিয়ে বন্ধের জন্যে যৌনতার বাজারকে উন্মুক্ত করা দরকার। বেশ্যাবৃত্তিকে আইনী স্বীকৃতির পাশাপাশি সামাজিক স্বীকৃতি দেওয়ার লড়াইও চালানো দরকার।

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Author: Saikat Bhattacharya

International geopolitics Sex War world order 02-June-2022 by east is rising